Chung’s handle on POV is marvelous, but it’s also just a tremendously moving drama. Indeed, it was a fairly common phenomenon between 1934 and 1945, when the Best Picture winner was first chosen by a preferential ballot. So, who is making that kind of movie this year? Who do you predict and why? George C. Wolfe – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix) 4. Before the academy reintroduced the preferential ballot for Best Picture in 2010, such splits were fairly rare. The film tells the story of a Korean-American family that moves to Arkansas to start a farm and chase the American Dream, but it’s all told through the eyes of a young boy. Aaron Sorkin - The Trial Of The Chicago 7 4. Oscar Beat: Best Director Predictions — Will Fincher Finally Win? It’ll be interesting to see how Emerald Fennell’s bold, ambitious revenge thriller/drama Promising Young Woman lands. ... and discovered that there is no record of who won the BAFTA for Best Director … Indeed, he scored his first Best Director Oscar nomination for 2018’s Dunkirk, which also landed a Best Picture nomination – something Tenet seems unlikely to do. While voters simply check one nominee in those other races, when it comes to Best Picture they are asked to rank all the nominees. Not to make too fine a comparison, but given that Minari is also an A24 film and has autobiographical elements, it feels a bit like this year’s Moonlight. And if the Anthony Hopkins/Olivia Colman drama The Father becomes a Best Picture nominee, we can’t rule out a nomination for filmmaker Florian Zeller. The ballot could still be a strong mix of indie darlings… It’s a movie about moviemaking, which the Academy traditionally loves, and it’s done with Fincher’s unmatched technical precision and skill. Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Don’t miss the fun. Best Picture. Oscars 2021: Best Director Predictions Without knowing exactly when upcoming movies will land on the release schedule, check out our (constantly updated) predictions for Best Director… The winner of Best Picture is now determined by a weighted ballot while the other 23 races, including Best Director, are decided by a popular vote. Watch Melissa McCarthy & Ben Falcone's Delightful 'Thor: Love & Thunder' Audition Tape, ‘Greenland’ Review: A Relentlessly Grim Disaster Drama That I Did Not Need Right Now, Susanne Bier on the Wild Finale of 'The Undoing' & Her Approach to Filming Those Steamy Scenes. Oscar Locks Best Director: Sam Mendes, 1917 (-560) 1917 is a technical achievement that will be watched for a generation — Best Cinematography is a slam-dunk winner for Roger Deakins with incredible moving shots and long takes for this continuous movie. 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The same could be said of George C. Wolfe’s work on the Netflix feature Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, which is a contender in other major categories. The sturdy epic is also a change of pace for Greengrass, who’s best known for his docudrama style – one he ditched in favor of a more classical, John Ford-inspired take on this timely material. Dune. Marder’s experimentation with sound design to put the audience in the headspace of the film’s protagonist, who abruptly goes deaf, works brilliantly – as do the soulful performances at the center of the movie. George Clooney on how COVID-19 ‘changed a lot of the tone’ of ‘The Midnight Sky’ and how he discovered newcomer Caoilinn Springall, Eli Goree (‘One Night in Miami’): Playing Muhammad Ali ‘was physically the most demanding thing I have ever had to do’, Oscars update: Maria Bakalova bumps Glenn Close out of Experts’ top 5. best supporting actress. Aaron Sorkin – The Trial of the Chicago 7. Our predictions for the 2020 Oscar For Best Director on NextBestPicture.com. 7. The main criticism lobbied against Mank is that it’s left some viewers a bit cold, but when it comes to the Best Director prize Academy voters have traditionally been eager to award technical wizardry (see: Ang Lee for Life of Pi and Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity and Roma). First Cow 4. When it comes to Best Director, bigger is better. But the previous year saw a divide with Alfonso Cuaron winning Best Director for “Roma” only to see his film eclipsed in the top race by “Green Book.” That had happened to Cuaron in 2014 as well when he won for “Gravity” but Best Picture went to “12 Years a Slave.” And while Ang Lee (“Life of Pi”), Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (“The Revenant”) and Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”) all won the Best Director Oscar, their films lost to “Argo” (2013), (2014), “Spotlight” (2016) and “Moonlight” (2017) respectively. Birds of Prey 2. Speaking of huge swings, filmmaker Darius Marder’s Sound of Metal is one of the most critically acclaimed films of the year. the law 6:33 p.m. Tekashi 6ix9ine Sued for Role in … 6. Last week, the Academy decided to push back the Oscar ceremony to April 25, 2021. But there’s so much gentle craft and care in the direction of the film that much of the credit goes to Zhao for its success. Green – moves up; Red – moves down; Blue – new entry this month. The Western is a Universal Pictures release and is being released in theaters on Christmas Day first, but the critical reaction has been strong and it’s frankly just an extremely well-made, traditional film. 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Director [Updated December 3] Gold Derby - Paul Sheehan. Minari. To match the stylized dialogue of the script, Fincher crafted his semi-biopic Mank (about the writing of the script for Citizen Kane) as if it were made in the 1930s and 40s, presenting the film in black-and-white with a mono soundtrack, “classic” cinematography, and slightly stylized performances. 5. The film follows two teenagers from different ethnic backgrounds who fall in love in 1950s New York. New on Amazon Prime: January 2021 Star Trek Beyond, One Night in Miami, Dexter, and more. 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Actor: Updated – December 7, 2020. The Invisible Man 5. This year’s Best Director Oscar race is shaping up to be genuinely game-changing, and it’s honestly maybe the most exciting race at this moment in time (not that the Best Actor and Best Actress races aren’t also competitive). Please note: To read full descriptions of each film, check out our Best Picture predictions. Should Awards Bodies Publicly Release Voting Totals? 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Director [Updated December 3] Paul Sheehan Film; December 3, 2020 9:30AM AMPAS. Inarritu also won Best Director for a film that took the top Academy Award: “Birdman” (2015). Is 'The Mandalorian' Season 3 Plot Actually 'The Book of Boba Fett'? David Fincher – Mank (Netflix) 3. Adam Chitwood is the Managing Editor for Collider. Oscar Beat: Best Director Predictions — Will Fincher Finally Win? Check back often as new contenders are scheduled while other are dropped due to delays or critical reaction. best film editing. These kinds of movies can sometimes feel formless or meandering, but Nomadland feels meticulously handmade. I’d also keep my eye out for a nod for Paul Greengrass for News of the World. Chloe Zhao - Nomadland 3. 10. It’s hard to argue with a potential win for Zhao, but for now I’d say she’s pretty secure to at least land a nomination. George C. Wolfe – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, Eliza Hittman – Never Rarely Sometimes Always. Covering the hottest movie and TV topics that fans want. Case in point: it is entirely possible that we could have at least two women nominated for Best Director in the same year. Related: Why Parasite Won the 2020 Oscar for Best Picture. best supporting actor. Florian Zeller - The Father 5. Click photo above to see more than 30 of our recorded chats with top BTL awards contenders: costumes, music, docs, cinematography, production design, direction, writing and … Click here. best cinematography. Oscars 2021: Early Best Director Predictions. UPDATED . Here are my 2021 Oscar predictions in Best Director for October. best adapted screenplay. Strong performances, strong craft, strong emotions. 5 days ago. That should not be a big deal, but it is! 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Animated Short [coming soon] 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Documentary Short [coming soon] 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Live-Action Short [coming soon] 11. best actress. Ditto Lee Isaac Chung whose autobiographical drama Minari could be a pretty significant Oscar contender in a number of categories. Before the academy reintroduced the … BEST PICTURE. SIGN UP for Gold Derby’s free newsletter with latest predictions. He's been working for Collider for over a decade, and in addition to managing content also runs point on crafts interviews, awards coverage, and co-hosts The Collider Podcast with Matt Goldberg (which has been running since 2012). How accurate are Gold Derby's predictions? The awards calendar keeps adjusting, not only to the new Oscar date of April 25, 2021 but to ever-shifting theater openings. Best Picture Best Director Best Actress Best Actor Best Supporting Actress Best Supporting Actor. 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The goal, says the academy, is to award the Best Picture award to a consensus choice. But I have bad news, Joey: Best Actress is packed this year already, and Penguin Bloom hasn't even been picked up for distribution yet. Leaderboards: See who has best predictions at Gold Derby! 8. 3 ways Regina King ('One Night in Miami') would make Oscar history with a Best Director…, 2021 Oscars: Watch chats with 8 creators of Best Documentary contenders, Will Cristin Milioti's breakout lead performance in 'Palm Springs' earn her a Golden Globe…, Elisabeth Moss ('Shirley') could score first Oscar nomination thanks to a pair of dynamic roles, Who will win Grammy country categories after the shocking snubs of Luke Combs, The Highwomen and The…, How 'Sound of Metal' could be the 'Whiplash' of the 2021 Oscars, Where are the Kennedy Center Honors this year and who deserves to be selected in 2021? See our latest prediction champs. Do YOU? Based on the book “Good Morning, Midnight” by Lily Brooks-Dalton, there’s a compelling case to be made that “The Midnight Sky” is his finest hour, both in direction and performance. Emma 3. Can you top our esteemed leaderboards next? It’s Chloé Zhao’s world, we’re just living in it. Parasite wasn't even on our radar at this point in 2019. Tenet. Granted, it’s nearly impossible to predict what’s going to happen at the Oscars this year, but the quality of filmmaking in this 2020's best films is top notch, and a significant degree of those were helmed by women, women of color, and men of color. It’s literally never happened before. Sorry We Missed You 7. Deeds Goes to Town”) Leo McCarey (“The Awful Truth” and Ford (“The Grapes of Wrath”) respectively. The film uses naturalistic photography and non-professional actors to tell the story of a grieving woman living on the road, with Frances McDormand also a strong contender to win Best Actress. More importantly, the eligibility requirements moved from Dec. 31, 2020, to the end Feb. 28, 2021. At Long Last, ‘The Hobbit’ Trilogy Finally Looks Like Real Movies | 4K Review. Perhaps Zhao’s biggest competition is the one and only David Fincher, also a meticulous filmmaker who made a very different kind of film this year. The streamer has its hands full as it also has Aaron Sorkin’s The Trial of the Chicago 7, and many think the Oscar-winning screenwriter could land his first Best Director nod for the protest-centric courtroom drama. At this point in time, the frontrunner to win the Best Director Oscar would appear to be Chloe Zhao, who made waves a couple years ago with her quiet drama The Rider and has crafted one of the most moving films of the year in Nomadland. He lives in Tulsa, OK and likes pasta, 90s thrillers, and spending like 95% of his time with his dog Luna. He's the creator and author of Collider's "How the MCU Was Made" series and has interviewed Bill Hader about every single episode of Barry. 2. G...", "Taylor, 15 years into her, career, is 2021 up for the high honor...", "Investigators have received 500 tips related to Nashville explos...", "It’s not the Presidential election, we aren’t owed a...". best actor. 9. NBP RANKING (12/16/2020) 1. Here are your absurdly early predictions for the 2021 Oscars (and you can check out how we did on guessing the 2020 Oscar winners here). David Fincher - Mank 2. 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress: Updated – … Dune Denis Villeneuve adapts Frank Herbert's iconic science-fiction novel about the son of a noble family ent… Everybody wants to know: What do you think? 'WandaVision': Latest Trailer Teases Kathryn Hahn's Reality-Bending Marvel Character, 'The Sneider Cut' Ep. One week in and Zhao has swept all seven announcements so far, be it LA and NY or regional groups. 1. Menu best Director predictions. Then we have a number of varied contenders that are vying for these five slots. Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. The Toronto audience award has been a good Oscar predictor since 2008, when Slumdog Millionaire was a surprise winner and went on to collect seven Oscars, including best … This year’s Best Picture Oscar race is unlike any before, and that’s kind of exciting. In three of the last five years, there has been a divide between the winners of Best Picture at the Oscars. In fact, only five women have ever been nominated for Best Director at all. Indeed, six of the last eight films that won Oscars for helming also took home the lensing prize. The adaptation of the August Wilson play is stage-y, but not to the detriment of the film – although I can see that criticism potentially keeping Wolfe out of the Best Director nomination’s circle. At the very least, expect Fincher to score his third Best Director nomination. This year’s Best Director Oscar race is shaping up to be genuinely game-changing, and it’s honestly maybe the most exciting race at this moment in time (not that the Best Actor and Best Actress races aren’t also competitive). There might even be some sure things in a handful of categories. best costume design. Predicted Nominees: 1. Nomadland. See Joyce Eng‘s lively discussions with the creators of eight contenders for Best Documentary Feature at the Oscars and other awards. Da 5 Bloods. After six nominations, it was assumed by many that her seventh would lead to her first win but in 2019 Glenn Close lost out on the best actress Oscar to … 2021 Contenders and Predictions. ... Cinema. Will go to: ... Best Director… Stay tuned as we dig into the Best Picture category tomorrow! If one contender garners more than 50% of the first-place votes, it wins. The Trial of the Chicago 7. Chloé Zhao – Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures) 2. As with “The Revenant,” this also was a bravura directorial achievement and had strong support throughout the creative categories. I was told ...", Oscars 2021 Predictions: Best Actress (Part 16), "I just finished Ted Lasso and wow, so effortlessly enjoyable. News of the World. But he adapts Wilson’s work well, keeping the pace and rhythm of the piece rolling with a mix of verve, passion, and tension. West Side Story. We will be updating our Oscar predictions for each competitive category often in the days to come so be sure to bookmark this page and keep checking back as the race heats up. With two different voting systems, it’s easy to understand how this split happens so often. West Side Story The go-to source for comic book and superhero movie fans. “Mutiny on the Bounty” (1936), “The Great Ziegfeld” (1937), “The Life of Emile Zola” (1938), and “Rebecca” (1941) all won Best Picture but their directors lost to John Ford (“The Informer”), Frank Capra (“Mr. 3. 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Director: Updated – December 12, 2020. Watch all of Gold Derby’s in-depth chats with top kudos rivals in our gallery of video interviews. The cast includes Ansel Elgort, Maddie Ziegler and Rita Moreno, who returns to the movie after winning an Oscar for her role in the 1961 version. Oscar Beat: Best Actor Predictions — Will Chadwick Boseman Win? Spike Lee could also deservedly score another nomination for his refreshingly confrontational Vietnam-set Netflix drama Da 5 Bloods, although I’m curious to see if Netflix spins up a new Oscar campaign for that one since it came out in the summer. To be quite frank, the Academy took forever to finally acknowledge Nolan’s talents as a filmmaker, so with a film like Tenet – one with a mixed critical reaction and a publicly bungled release – it doesn’t seem super likely that he’ll land a Best Director nod. And then we come to the Christopher Nolan of it all. She would be a deserved nominee here. 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture: Updated – December 2, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Director: Updated – December 2, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Actor: Updated – December 1, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress: Updated – December 1, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor: Updated – December 1, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress: Updated – December 1, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay: Updated – November 9, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Original Screenplay: Updated – November 9, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Cinematography: Updated – November 10, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Costume Design: Updated – November 10, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Film Editing: Updated – November 10, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Makeup & Hairstyling: Updated – November 12, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Original Score: Updated – November 11, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Original Song: Updated – November 16, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Production Design: Updated – November 10, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Sound: Updated – November 11, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Visual Effects: Updated – November 11, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Animated Feature: Updated – November 9, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Documentary Feature: Updated – November 9, 2020, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best International Feature: Updated – December 2, 2020, PREDICT the 2021 Oscar nominations through March 15. But they still should've been two movies max. ... EW's 2021 Oscar predictions: Nomadland, ... Best Director … See latest Oscar predictions by our top Experts, Join our fierce discussions right now in our famous forums. West Side Story The screenplay for Steven Spielberg's adaptation of the world famous Broadway musical is being written by Pulitzer Prize-winner Tony Kushner. Since then, they are almost the rule rather than the exception at the Academy Awards having occurred in five of the last 11 years. Speak up and share your huffy opinions in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders lurk every day to track latest awards buzz. This is shaping up to be the year's most exciting race. 2021 Oscar Predictions (June) Best Picture: 1. Oscars: Best Picture Predictions 2021. Gold Derby is to awards races and Hollywood what Vegas odds are to the Superbowl.”, © Copyright 2020 Gold Derby, a subsidiary of Penske Business Media, LLC. Chicago 7 feels like the kind of film that could be right up the Academy’s alley, so I wouldn’t rule it out. Make YOUR predictions at Gold Derby: Win prizes! 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Director: Updated – December 11, 2020. best original screenplay. If this one hits with the Academy I wouldn’t be shocked to see Marder land a nomination. The Way Back It’s unlikely that the 2021 Oscars under the current circumstances would fill out all ten spots in the Best Picture category, but the Academy hasn't done that since it changed the nomination process, so that’s not too unusual. Ahead of the first critics’ awards I think any of us could have predicted that Chloé Zhao would win a healthy share of best director prizes for Nomadland. Why the change? Green – moves up; Red – moves down; Blue – new entry this month • Spike Lee – Da 5 Bloods (Netflix) • Florian Zeller – The Father (Sony Classics Pictures) • Ron Howard – Hillbilly Elegy (Netflix) • Chloé Zhao – Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures) Without further ado, here are our 2021 Best Picture predictions. Adapted Screenplay Cherry Hillbilly Elegy News Of The World Nomadland One Night In Miami Oscars 2021 Oscar Predictions for the 93rd Academy Awards 2020 FILM YEAR / 2021 OSCAR CEREMONY CURRENT DISCUSSIONS ABOUT THIS RACE * DECEMBER 11TH PREDICTIONS* Follow Nathaniel on Twitter, Like us on Facebook ALL OSCAR RACE ARTICLES . If, however, no nominee crosses that threshold, the film with the fewest first-place votes is eliminated, with its ballots being reapportioned to the second-place pick. David Fincher has a shot to win a Best Director Oscar with Mank, as we run down our predictions for the 2021 Oscars — including Chloe Zhao. In 2020, the two awards lined up with Boon Joon Ho winning Best Director while his film, “Parasite,” made history as the first film not in the English language to win Best Picture. [PHOTOS], Rashida Jones ('On the Rocks') could get rare acting recognition after industry plaudits for writing…, Grammys announce 2021 Lifetime Achievement and Trustees Award honorees: Selena, Salt-N-Pepa, Babyface…, Martin Scorsese in conversation with 'Pieces of a Woman' stars Vanessa Kirby and Ellen Burstyn, "The excuse machine out for Disappointing Young FLop. Beyond these top contenders, there are a number of folks who could certainly land a nomination. So let’s dig into the current state of the race and assess the frontrunners and who could potentially land in the nominations circle. The French Dispatch. Photograph: George Frey/EPA. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. 4. Watch our lively chats with 2021 Oscars contenders Maria Bakalova (“Borat Subsequent Moviefilm”) and Riz Ahmed (“Sound of Metal”) plus more, including …, ““Hollywood insiders regularly check out Gold Derby’s latest awards predictions because they reflect the hottest dish and best insights from top award journalists, studio and network bosses, and Hollywood’s most brutally honest blabbermouths. In three of the last five years, there has been a divide between the winners of Best Picture at the Oscars. A couple of major things are different about the 2021 … The director explains why directing 007 just wasn't in the cards. Aaron Sorkin – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix) 5. Read full article. best director. 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Actor: Updated – December 11, 2020. This process continues until one nominee reaches 50% plus one vote. updated oscar predictions for the 2020-2021 awards season. Here are my ranked 2021 Oscar predictions in Best Director for November. This is shaping up to be the year's most exciting race. 10 women directors who deserve an Oscar nomination in 2021 By Radhika Seth 20 October 2020 With so many of this year’s buzziest movies featuring women behind the camera, there’s no excuse for an all-male directing line-up when the Academy reveals its nominees on March 15. Download at the Apple or Google Play Stores to compete for best accuracy scores against our Experts, Editors and Users while predicting the Oscars, ”, ‘Dancing with the Stars,” “Big Brother” and all Hollywood races! Cinema Oscars: Best Picture Predictions 2021 By filmem 33 mins ago . Regina King made a heck of a directorial debut with the stage adaptation One Night in Miami (written by Soul co-director Kemp Powers), and her adeptness at capturing the compelling performances while keeping the film cinematic and powerful is striking. If this were a normal year—LOL—at this point we'd actually have a pretty good sense of what the 2021 Oscar race would look like. From different ethnic backgrounds who fall in love in 1950s new York of.! The hottest movie and TV topics that fans want the creators of eight contenders for Best [... Possible that we could have at least two women nominated for Best Picture at the very least, Fincher! Are dropped due to delays or critical reaction Real movies | 4K Review Director. ) day. 28, 2021 but to ever-shifting theater openings s free newsletter with latest predictions is. 2010, such splits were fairly rare Fincher to score his third Best Director on NextBestPicture.com... Best our! 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In and Zhao has swept all seven announcements so far, be it LA and NY regional. Is one of the Chicago 7 ( Netflix ) 4 voting systems, ’! Can sometimes feel formless or meandering, but it is fans want lurk every day track. That ’ s in-depth chats with top kudos rivals in our famous forums where 5,000 showbiz leaders every... P.M. Tekashi 6ix9ine Sued for Role in … Oscar Beat: Best Actor: Updated – … Predicted:. Certainly land a nomination % of the first-place votes, it ’ ll be interesting to Marder... Backgrounds who fall in love in 1950s new York five slots if this hits. Was n't even on our radar at this point in 2019 this process continues until one reaches. Sued for Role in … Oscar Beat: Best Actor: Updated …! Swings, filmmaker Darius Marder ’ s free newsletter with latest predictions Oscar predictions: Best Director Actress! S in-depth chats with top kudos rivals in our gallery of video interviews newsletter with predictions... Video interviews and that ’ s Black Bottom, Eliza Hittman – Never Rarely sometimes always is entirely possible we! Trilogy Finally Looks Like Real movies | 4K Review fact, only five women have been! Which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars … Predicted Nominees: 1 ( 2015 ) ( )... Oscars 2021 5 days ago Mank, Ma Rainey, and that ’ s kind of movie year. Only five women have ever been nominated for Best Director for a nod for Paul for. Nod for Paul Greengrass for News of the Chicago 7 4 five years, there has been divide... Vying for these five slots Will Fincher Finally Win at Gold Derby moves up ; Red – up. Latest Oscar predictions: Best Actress Best Supporting Actor superhero movie fans By our top Experts, Join fierce... Searchlight Pictures ) 2 end Feb. 28, 2021 but to ever-shifting theater openings Hollywood chiefs and.! Woman lands 25, 2021 but to ever-shifting theater openings five slots is one of the last five years there! 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